Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 6.948891e-05 0.000083 0.000098 0.000115 0.000134 0.000154 0.000178
2025-03-16 5.232965e-05 0.000070 0.000089 0.000114 0.000143 0.000175 0.000214
2025-03-23 4.297975e-05 0.000062 0.000085 0.000114 0.000150 0.000191 0.000242
2025-03-30 3.501238e-05 0.000055 0.000079 0.000113 0.000154 0.000204 0.000268
2025-04-06 2.835858e-05 0.000048 0.000074 0.000109 0.000156 0.000213 0.000287
2025-04-13 2.343549e-05 0.000043 0.000069 0.000108 0.000159 0.000223 0.000307
2025-04-20 1.828800e-05 0.000036 0.000063 0.000102 0.000156 0.000225 0.000317
2025-04-27 1.546233e-05 0.000033 0.000060 0.000102 0.000160 0.000235 0.000338
2025-05-04 1.334554e-05 0.000031 0.000059 0.000102 0.000165 0.000247 0.000361
2025-05-11 1.179439e-05 0.000029 0.000058 0.000104 0.000171 0.000261 0.000387
2025-05-18 1.039023e-05 0.000028 0.000057 0.000105 0.000177 0.000274 0.000411
2025-05-25 8.361444e-06 0.000024 0.000053 0.000102 0.000176 0.000278 0.000423
2025-06-01 6.132446e-06 0.000021 0.000048 0.000098 0.000175 0.000283 0.000439
2025-06-08 4.772411e-06 0.000018 0.000046 0.000097 0.000178 0.000294 0.000464
2025-06-15 3.798041e-06 0.000017 0.000044 0.000097 0.000183 0.000308 0.000492
2025-06-22 2.891946e-06 0.000015 0.000042 0.000096 0.000185 0.000318 0.000516
2025-06-29 2.061090e-06 0.000013 0.000039 0.000093 0.000185 0.000324 0.000533
2025-07-06 1.496229e-06 0.000011 0.000037 0.000091 0.000187 0.000332 0.000555
2025-07-13 9.128943e-07 0.000009 0.000033 0.000086 0.000182 0.000332 0.000563
2025-07-20 6.520573e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000086 0.000186 0.000342 0.000587
2025-07-27 4.760385e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000086 0.000190 0.000355 0.000615
2025-08-03 3.617278e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000088 0.000197 0.000371 0.000647
2025-08-10 2.657660e-07 0.000006 0.000030 0.000089 0.000203 0.000387 0.000679